JT!

That's quite insane. To start with your math means nothing. You're evenly distributing covid deaths over people with and without preexisting conditions. Even though you're trying to show people with preexisting conditions are more likely to die from covid, you ignore that premise when you're distributing the deaths. Realistically you're chances of dying are MUCH lower that what you state if you don't have a preexisting condition. But "being healthy" means nothing anyway because covid kills old people. You can't hit the gym and eat right to get younger. And even if you could, it's almost impossible to do that over such a short timespan. And even if both those things were possible, good luck trying to get people to change their habits. You comment reeks of "Well I'm young and healthy so why should my life have to change?".

Well, on one extreme you have any death that happens in a period of time after a positive covid test gets counted as a covid death. Then on the other extreme you have deaths from covid that are considered to be death solely by covid with no other preexisting conditions or medical vulnerabilities. This is how we've ended up with two numbers 25 times apart.

Well, sure but that's neither here nor there. We're talking about what is considered a covid death or not. The numbers 150k and 6k aren't due to an inaccuracy, they're due to two different definitions of a 'covid death'.

Sure, but that's down to what we quantify as a covid death right? Like, no one dies from a car accident, they die because they've lost too much blood, they stopped breathing or their head is no longer attached to their body, but we list it as a death due to a car accident. Kind of the same thing with covid. Sure, a lot of people who died from covid in the last 2 years would have died from something else anyway, but if covid was never a thing, I'd certainly imagine there'd be closer to 150,000 more people about now as opposed to 6000.

Has anyone ever really doubted getting covid will make you immune to it? The whole point of getting the vaccine is to become immune and not get sick from covid, as opposed to getting sick from covid and becoming immune. Graph shows women live longer than men.

Fatbikes are amazing. They're kind of bad at everything but they're just so goofy and fun, I had to steal the derailleur off my hardtail to fix my fatbike. Turns out the derailleur I got with my fatbike was defective. So I was without a trail bike all last year, ended up putting a dropper no the fatbike and rode the trails on that. Had a great time! Obviously tire pressure is everything. I've ridden my fatbike at 4psi on groomed snow covered trails and at 30psi for gravel trails. The hardest thing to get used to is how they autosteer when you get going fast. Best thing about them is how amazing they are whenever you need grip, whether that's going up wet rocks on a techy trail, going through mud, even sand. And for someone like he who's never been able to afford a full suspension bike, the volume of the tires are great for absorbing the small stuff.

Consultation went well, now we really just sit and wait up to two years for the right home to show up.

The King's Man is actually very good. A very subtle origin story. Much less gratuitous action, but better in every other aspect than the first two.

I have my consultation with 1roof on Tuesday. For all those who didn't read my comment about 1roof it's an organization for lower income people to get them into homes by selling you the home at a discounted price by them keeping ownership of the land. The downside is you're obligated to sell the home at a discounted price if you decide to, but it's better that our current arrangement or renting. It's going to be a little annoying though because the consultation is really more of a financial planning session on what needs to be done in order for a family to be able to purchase a 1roof home. Budgeting, credit score building etc. But we already have the down payment (which isn't even required) and killer credit scores, so it might be a really quick phone call.

Haven't been able to get out much this winter. -10c is about as cold as I'm willing to go for safety reasons, it's been way colder than that most mornings, -30c being the coldest this winter season, it's been a rough one. When it does warm up it's usually snowing making it almost impossible to ride even with 4" tires. But this was one of the rare days where it warmed up and wasn't snowing too hard.

I'm not, it was a throwaway comment. Honestly I thought meatloaf had died of a heart attack on stage years ago. Amazed he was still alive.

If I wasn't saving for a house I'd throw some money in. Damn responsibilities.

Oh wow there goes my money, what caused this downturn? Edit, oh it was Biden.

Too soon!

Ok guys, covid just took an unvaccinated Meat Loaf out. Time to get jabbed!

No Time to Die was worth a watch. Wasn't amazing, just a solid Bond movie.

I'm still sat waiting for siacoin to make me a millionaire.

Then that would mean everyone who's had covid would test positive for covid. A covid test tests for the actual infection. Once the infection has gone, it's gone.

Even Rogan called bullshit on this. Also, there's plenty of reinfection cases. Maybe he was referring to the same variant of covid? That would make more sense.

Yeah it gets wet all the time. From what I can tell the issue is at the actual caliper, the lever pulls freely and the cable seems to be the same way too.

Anything lower than -4c and you can start to feel the sluggishness at the lever. Today at -7c it was really bad, to the point where the housing popped out of the adjustment barrel on release. I'll be riding this bike home tomorrow morning in -15c, so we'll really see how bad it gets. I played around a little and the cable feels pretty smooth through the housing, and the lever is not the issue, that leaves the actual brake its self where the issue must be. The rear one doesn't have any issues. So I'm assuming whatever lube or grease is in there is becoming thicker in the cold temps? How can I resolve this?

I think the issue is that the vaccine effectiveness wears off as time passes... and then not even mentioning variants. So that 95% was probably accurate before delta, and up to 3 or 4 months after everyone got their 2nd dose. But beyond that we were in uncharted waters.

Weight is an easy one, if you're dying from covid you're almost certainly admitted to hospital where they'd weigh you, or even if they were unable to weigh someone due to them being brought in in an emergency, you can easily eyeball it. I'm sure the stats are out there somewhere one weight and covid deaths. I'm not sure if vit D level are measured in basic blood draws, if they are then they probably have those stats too, as I'm sure blood is drawn at some point if someone is in hospital due to covid. I think viral load is probably impossible to measure, although I think this would have no effect. The larger the viral load your body takes on would increase the chances of getting covid, I can't imagine it would have any impact on dying from it, as the viral load you would take on is a tiny tiny fraction compared to how much of the virus you have in your body when you actually have covid.

Yeah those are all variables too, they're just fairly insignificant in comparison to age. I remember reading the New York Times at work probably around a year ago, it had the names and ages of people who had died from covid. Hundred and hundreds of names, it took me a good while to find anyone under the age of 40. Looking this this chart here: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1191568/reported-deaths-from-covid-by-age-us/ ...you can see that 93.25% of covid deaths are people over 50, and only about 2% are under 40.

95% efficacy over all the age ranges. I'm sure efficacy is much higher in younger healthy people, and much lower in older or people with pre existing conditions. 95% is an average.